非线性随机响应单侧尾部分布的代理模型算法
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O324;O322

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国家重点研发计划项目(2021YFB2600501);四川省自然科学基金资助项目(2022NSFSC0458);中铁第一勘察 设计院集团有限公司科研开发项目(院科 20‐53,院科 20‐21)


A surrogate algorithm for the one‑sided tail of structural random nonlinear response
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    摘要:

    对于大型复杂结构的非线性随机响应,随机模拟法是较为实用的工程分析方法。然而对于需要大量样本的 尾部概率估计,高昂的计算成本限制了该类方法的应用。为了降低计算成本,开发了基于主动学习的高斯过程代理 模型算法,但其主动学习优化策略仍需进一步完善,以满足工程中对单侧尾部概率分布估计精度的需求。为此提出 了一种具有智能关注功能的搜索函数,构建了针对工程中事故风险极高的单侧尾部的算法。以地铁隧道环梁和衬 砌间复杂粘结滑移行为为例,验证了该算法的有效性。相比原有算法,本文算法对单侧尾部概率的估计误差降低了 30%。本文算法能更精确地估计复杂结构随机响应分布的单侧尾部概率,进而估计极端事故的发生概率,为风险测 度和防灾管理决策提供量化分析依据。

    Abstract:

    In the realm of stochastic nonlinear response analysis for large and intricate structures, the Monte Carlo simulation meth‐ od stands out as a pivotal approach. However, its widespread practicality is hampered by its exorbitant computational costs. To sur‐ mount this challenge, researchers have endeavored to develop the active learning‐based Gaussian process surrogate model algo‐ rithm. Despite its promise in reducing computational expenses, the optimization strategy associated with active learning necessi‐ tates further refinement to meet the exacting demands of engineering applications. For this purpose, we introduce a search function endowed with ‘intelligent’ attention capabilities. This function is meticulously crafted to concentrate on exceedingly high‐risk one‐sided tail events in engineering scenarios. By incorporating this search function, we have engineered an algorithm that surpass‐ es existing methodologies. Our algorithm finds successful application in the analysis of complex adhesive anchoring structures with‐ in subway tunnel rings and linings. Compared to conventional methodologies, our algorithm exhibits a remarkable 30% reduction in the estimation error of single‐tailed probabilities. This advancement facilitates a more precise estimation of the one‐tailed proba‐ bility distribution governing the stochastic response of complex structures. Consequently, it enhances the precision of assessing the occurrence probability of extreme events. These findings yield invaluable insights for decision‐making processes in pertinent engi‐ neering domains and insurance sectors.

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尹炜浩,杨海婷,黄滟雯,杨 成,吕大刚.非线性随机响应单侧尾部分布的代理模型算法[J].振动工程学报,2024,37(9):1485~1492.[YIN Wei?hao, YANG Hai?ting, HUANG Yan?wen, YANG Cheng, Lü Da?gang. A surrogate algorithm for the one‑sided tail of structural random nonlinear response[J]. Journal of Vibration Engineering,2024,37(9):1485~1492.]

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  • 在线发布日期: 2024-10-17
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